by bryanb » Wed May 11, 2022 4:55 pm
Some thoughts on recent games and the current playoff series:
Bucks vs Celtics
These are two fairly similar teams who are both great defensively and play mature and intelligent basketball. However, only the Bucks have Giannis, and I expected that alone to be the difference maker in game 4. It ultimately wasn't. The Celtics largely ceded the paint to Giannis and Brook Lopez and relied on their jump shooting (and defense). It was a risky strategy, but it worked out in the end. Jayson Tatum scored 30, which isn't a surprise, but so did 35 year old Al Horford who managed to hit five three pointers, antagonize the generally mild-mannered Giannis enough to get the Greek star T'd up, and change the momentum of the game in the fourth quarter which was definitely a surprise. I've watched Horford for years and years, but I can't remember ever seeing him play better than this. He came up absolutely huge in a very big moment. One thing I love about watching basketball is getting to see the wily veteran turn back time and temporarily assume or reassume superstar status. Horford was absolutely the man of the game in game 4.
I still expect the Bucks to win this series. Giannis' game is just more high percentage than Tatum's or Jalen Brown's. The Celtics need to be both lockdown on defense and a little lucky to win -- the Bucks just need Giannis to pound the paint and do what he does best. One positive for Boston is that Khris Middleton is still out injured so the Bucks are a little lacking in offensive firepower at the moment.
Heat vs 76ers
You can count me as a skeptic of the big trade that reunited James Harden with Daryl Morey in Philadelphia. I'm not surprised that Morey did it given that he's always felt numbers are more important than emotions in basketball, but I just didn't see the combination of Harden and Joel Embiid taking Philly to the next level. You could certainly argue that any trade that got Ben Simmons off the roster was worth it. Nonetheless, game 5 provided a textbook example of why I was skeptical. Harden looked last night like he often looked as his Houston tenure was coming to a close: listless and unfocused. He took a lot of bad shots (and sometime made them) and made bad turnovers. He so often seems to me like a really talented player who just doesn't care much about the game at this point. It's safe to say that Embiid was expected to be the more reliable and stable partner in this dynamic duo, but he was very passive and low energy through out much of game 5 with moments of scattered brilliance. He is both physically beat up and probably hurting a bit mentally due to being overlooked for MVP.
You want to bring your A-game against a team like the Heat which is the epitome of strength and stability. Philly got crushed. Miami is so solid and deep they're a little bit scary. You have Jimmy Butler dropping 36, Max Strus nailing 4 three pointers and making the hustle plays, Bam Adebayo dominating the paint on both sides, P.J. Tucker driving everyone crazy, and then when it's garbage time they bring out, uh...Duncan Robinson? Yeah, that's a bit much. I expect the Heat to take this one, but it'll probably be in 7 because Embiid will have something to prove in front of his home fans in the next game.
Suns vs Mavericks
I can't root for Luka Doncic because that would feel like rooting for Ivan Drago. He's frighteningly good -- a near perfect offensive player who can score from anywhere. Every time I watch the Mavs Luka is fantastic. His teammates are the main reason Dallas doesn't go 82-0 every reason. So it was in game 5 of this series: Jalen Brunson, Dorian Finney-Smith, and Davis Bertans had moments of brilliance, but they couldn't match the solid, consistent play of players like Devin Booker, Chris Paul, Deandre Ayton, and a resurgent Mikal Bridges. Ultimately, this boiled down to a Suns vs Luka showdown, and it's tough for even a truly great player to take on a great team largely by himself. Monty Williams showed a willingness to throw everything against the wall to stop Luka. Everyone from Chris Paul to Deandre Ayton took a turn at guarding the Slovenian. I thought the bigger Ayton did a surprisingly good job of chasing Luka around. Monty also tweaked the Suns' rotation for primarily defensive purposes and gave Bismack Biyombo and Landry Shamet some more playing time. It's a chess match out there on the hardwood!
The Chris Paul-Devin Booker partnership can be explosive and high scoring, but it's Chris Paul and Deandre Ayton who I particularly love to watch play together. The combination of Paul's creative passing and Ayton's inside play is always fun to watch. Ayton doesn't have the array of inside moves that Giannis has, but he's great under the basket whether he's powering home a dunk or using his soft touch to glide the ball in. He's still young, too. Definitely one of the Suns' best prospects for the future. Paul had more assists than points so it wasn't his flashiest game, but he did his part to help his team win. Booker was great as usual: 25 points and shooting over 50%.
I definitely expect the Suns to close this series out shortly.
Some thoughts on recent games and the current playoff series:
Bucks vs Celtics
These are two fairly similar teams who are both great defensively and play mature and intelligent basketball. However, only the Bucks have Giannis, and I expected that alone to be the difference maker in game 4. It ultimately wasn't. The Celtics largely ceded the paint to Giannis and Brook Lopez and relied on their jump shooting (and defense). It was a risky strategy, but it worked out in the end. Jayson Tatum scored 30, which isn't a surprise, but so did 35 year old Al Horford who managed to hit five three pointers, antagonize the generally mild-mannered Giannis enough to get the Greek star T'd up, and change the momentum of the game in the fourth quarter which was definitely a surprise. I've watched Horford for years and years, but I can't remember ever seeing him play better than this. He came up absolutely huge in a very big moment. One thing I love about watching basketball is getting to see the wily veteran turn back time and temporarily assume or reassume superstar status. Horford was absolutely the man of the game in game 4.
I still expect the Bucks to win this series. Giannis' game is just more high percentage than Tatum's or Jalen Brown's. The Celtics need to be both lockdown on defense and a little lucky to win -- the Bucks just need Giannis to pound the paint and do what he does best. One positive for Boston is that Khris Middleton is still out injured so the Bucks are a little lacking in offensive firepower at the moment.
Heat vs 76ers
You can count me as a skeptic of the big trade that reunited James Harden with Daryl Morey in Philadelphia. I'm not surprised that Morey did it given that he's always felt numbers are more important than emotions in basketball, but I just didn't see the combination of Harden and Joel Embiid taking Philly to the next level. You could certainly argue that any trade that got Ben Simmons off the roster was worth it. Nonetheless, game 5 provided a textbook example of why I was skeptical. Harden looked last night like he often looked as his Houston tenure was coming to a close: listless and unfocused. He took a lot of bad shots (and sometime made them) and made bad turnovers. He so often seems to me like a really talented player who just doesn't care much about the game at this point. It's safe to say that Embiid was expected to be the more reliable and stable partner in this dynamic duo, but he was very passive and low energy through out much of game 5 with moments of scattered brilliance. He is both physically beat up and probably hurting a bit mentally due to being overlooked for MVP.
You want to bring your A-game against a team like the Heat which is the epitome of strength and stability. Philly got crushed. Miami is so solid and deep they're a little bit scary. You have Jimmy Butler dropping 36, Max Strus nailing 4 three pointers and making the hustle plays, Bam Adebayo dominating the paint on both sides, P.J. Tucker driving everyone crazy, and then when it's garbage time they bring out, uh...Duncan Robinson? Yeah, that's a bit much. I expect the Heat to take this one, but it'll probably be in 7 because Embiid will have something to prove in front of his home fans in the next game.
Suns vs Mavericks
I can't root for Luka Doncic because that would feel like rooting for Ivan Drago. He's frighteningly good -- a near perfect offensive player who can score from anywhere. Every time I watch the Mavs Luka is fantastic. His teammates are the main reason Dallas doesn't go 82-0 every reason. So it was in game 5 of this series: Jalen Brunson, Dorian Finney-Smith, and Davis Bertans had moments of brilliance, but they couldn't match the solid, consistent play of players like Devin Booker, Chris Paul, Deandre Ayton, and a resurgent Mikal Bridges. Ultimately, this boiled down to a Suns vs Luka showdown, and it's tough for even a truly great player to take on a great team largely by himself. Monty Williams showed a willingness to throw everything against the wall to stop Luka. Everyone from Chris Paul to Deandre Ayton took a turn at guarding the Slovenian. I thought the bigger Ayton did a surprisingly good job of chasing Luka around. Monty also tweaked the Suns' rotation for primarily defensive purposes and gave Bismack Biyombo and Landry Shamet some more playing time. It's a chess match out there on the hardwood!
The Chris Paul-Devin Booker partnership can be explosive and high scoring, but it's Chris Paul and Deandre Ayton who I particularly love to watch play together. The combination of Paul's creative passing and Ayton's inside play is always fun to watch. Ayton doesn't have the array of inside moves that Giannis has, but he's great under the basket whether he's powering home a dunk or using his soft touch to glide the ball in. He's still young, too. Definitely one of the Suns' best prospects for the future. Paul had more assists than points so it wasn't his flashiest game, but he did his part to help his team win. Booker was great as usual: 25 points and shooting over 50%.
I definitely expect the Suns to close this series out shortly.